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Lumifer comments on Open Thread, November 8 - 14, 2013 - Less Wrong Discussion

1 Post author: witzvo 08 November 2013 08:13PM

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Comment author: Lumifer 13 November 2013 02:33:24AM 2 points [-]

and concludes that 17-25% of studies with a p-value acceptance threshold of 0.05 will be wrong

That's not what the dude concludes.

To quote the article itself (emphasis mine), "Although it is difficult to assess the proportion of all tested null hypotheses that are actually true, if one assumes that this proportion is approximately one-half, then these results suggest that between 17% and 25% of marginally significant scientific findings are false."