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RichardKennaway comments on Am I Understanding Bayes Right? - Less Wrong Discussion

3 Post author: CyrilDan 13 November 2013 08:40PM

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Comment author: RichardKennaway 14 November 2013 01:52:17PM 2 points [-]

Probability (for a Bayesian) is relative to a prior. There is always a prior: P(A|B) is the fundamental concept, not P(A). See, for example, Jaynes, chapter 1, pp.112ff., which is the point where he begins to construct a calculus for reasoning about "plausibilities", and eventually, in chapter 2, derives their measurement by numbers in the range 0-1.

Comment author: passive_fist 14 November 2013 09:53:22PM 0 points [-]

This is true, and I can see why it could create some conflict in interpreting this question. Thanks.