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knb comments on [Video Link] PostHuman: An Introduction to Transhumanism - Less Wrong Discussion

2 Post author: Joshua_Blaine 15 November 2013 02:04AM

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Comment author: knb 15 November 2013 06:30:58AM 4 points [-]

It's a really well-made video. However, they make the claim that the doubling period for Moore's Law is shrinking, which I think is false.

Comment author: Mestroyer 15 November 2013 07:50:52AM 4 points [-]

I also don't like that argument (even when presented correctly) because it ignores software and assumes you can brute-force everything.

Comment author: timtyler 15 November 2013 11:31:16AM 2 points [-]

Shane Legg prepared this graph.

It was enough to convince him that there was some super-exponential synergy:

Comment author: Joshua_Blaine 15 November 2013 03:03:51PM 1 point [-]

I dont disagree with the idea of an A.I. Intelligence explosion, but I do think their argument is the wrong one. It is a fairly common idea though, especially from semi-laypeople, so I'm not surprised to have seen it in their video.

Everything else in the video seemed roughly accurate, though.

Comment author: somervta 15 November 2013 11:41:32AM 0 points [-]

I'm pretty sure that was Kurzweil's claim originally. Can't remember if they attribute it to him in the video or make it themselves, though.