You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

scrafty comments on December Monthly Bragging Thread - Less Wrong Discussion

13 Post author: Kaj_Sotala 03 December 2013 02:46PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (119)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: scrafty 04 December 2013 02:08:48AM 1 point [-]

How risk-averse are you? But even if you aren't, I suspect that right now bitcoins aren't a great investment strictly in expected-value terms due to the high risk that they will decline in value by a lot. No one really knows what will happen, though.

Comment author: Ishaan 04 December 2013 02:56:39AM *  2 points [-]

I'm fairly risk averse in the sense that I wouldn't ordinarily feel confident enough in my knowledge to play on speculative markets...I just happen to possess BTC because someone liked something I wrote and kindly tipped me in BTC a couple years ago. I'd forgotten about it for a while, and today realized that it's worth 20x more than it was originally.

So basically my inaction caused me to inadvertently made a good investment. And even though I wouldn't ordinarily have tried investing in BTC, now that the decision to invest has essentially been made for me I curiously haven't immediately decided to convert to dollars.

Status quo bias is interesting - I'm tempted just to keep it and watch what happens...so far it's still rising. I guess the amount on the line isn't actually large enough for loss aversion fear to kick in .