:) It was just a good month - most of the entries are correlated: the fall of SR set off the spectacular rise in Bitcoin, the bet was based on unwarranted pessimism re the rise, the blackmarket turmoil made my expertise in blackmarkets of unusual interest to mainstream media, the turmoil prompted me to try to puncture unwarranted optimism by doing the public bet and also the survival analysis & DPR estimation, the Bitcoin rise also helped prompt the Sheep theft (which then unlocked the doxing)...
The only really uncorrelated parts are finally finishing Radiance (which was just a matter of time), and being contacted out of the blue with 2 new Zeo datasets.
I follow you on G+. It's the unrelenting, what-I-did-this-month posts, every month, that I find so impressive.
Btw, I had a random thought the other day. I don't remember reading your thoughts on GiveWell, but I see that in the past you've done freelance research and writing for MIRI and others, and it seems to me that your brand of efficient research (esp. w/ your emphasis on statistical analysis) might be a good fit for some of GW's shallow investigations.
Not sure if you're looking for more work beyond all the projects you've already got going on, but I just wanted to pass that idea along, in case it might seem promising and hadn't occurred to you.
As in Joshua Blaine's original description (below), but may be used to brag about things you've accomplished either this month (December) or the previous one (November), assuming that you haven't brought it up in any earlier Monthly Bragging Thread.