Bayeslisk comments on Open thread for December 9 - 16, 2013 - Less Wrong Discussion
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That is actually not true at all. I was actually planning on abandoning this trainwreck of an attempt at dissent. But since you're so nice:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RAND_Corporation
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Schelling#The_Strategy_of_Conflict_.281960.29
Apparently I was right to one box all along! Thanks!