It's time to look back to see what was predicted a year ago and how successfully it was.
But even more, it's time for the fresh predictions for the following year, 2014.
There's nothing at all wrong with making specific predictions. But it should be done with care, in view of our brains' tendency to infer higher rather than lower probability when they see something more specific.
It's time to look back to see what was predicted a year ago and how successfully it was.
But even more, it's time for the fresh predictions for the following year, 2014.