That assumes that someone isn't calibrated.
And that's a good assumption, since by my estimate, 99.9537% of people are not calibrated.
And that's a good assumption, since by my estimate, 99.9537% of people are not calibrated.
Part of lesswrong mission is about moving to a world where more people are calibrated. I don't think it's helpful to declare calibration a lost course.
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.