Whenever I post a probability estimate, it is solely for the purpose of making my position more clear, not as something anyone should use to actually update their beliefs. You should always consider probability estimates as rough information about how the person who made the estimate thinks, not as a factual bit of information about the prediction itself.
I don't think you make anything clearer by translating your intuition's unlikely to N%, while my unlikely is M%, where M!=N. You just make a false impression of having done a calculation (which, unlike intuition, can be confirmed).
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.