All beliefs are probability estimates
Apologies for the curmudgeonliness, but it really bugs me when people say things like this. The actual version of this statement that is true is
All coherent actions can be modeled as arising from beliefs that correspond to probability estimates
which is different and much weaker, as now we can argue about how important coherence is relative to other desiderata. One such desideratum is correspondence to reality, which I believe is Locaha's point above. Personally, I would much rather have incoherent beliefs that correspond to reality than coherent beliefs that do not correspond to reality.
One such desideratum is correspondence to reality, which I believe is Locaha's point above.
I don't think this belief has much correspondence to reality.
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.