I think the key quote here is:
Arguments for and against strong are inconclusive. Few mainstream researchers believe that anything significant hinges on the outcome of the debate.
Hm...I personally find it hard to divine much about Norvig's personal views from this. It seems like a relatively straightforward factual statement about the state of the field (possibly hedging to the extent that I think the arguments in favor of strong AI being possible are relatively conclusive, i.e. >90% in favor of possibility).
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