gjm comments on Open thread, January 25- February 1 - Less Wrong Discussion
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Every now and then I like to review my old writings so I can cringe at all the wrong things I wrote, and say "oops" for each of them. Here we go...
That's probably wrong. IIRC, previous eras' low life expectancy was mostly due to high child mortality.
This sentence is defensible for certain definitions of "significant," but I think it was a mistake to include this sentence (and the following quotes from Hutter and Schmidhuber) in the paper. AIXI and Godel machines probably aren't particularly important pieces of progress to AGI worth calling out like that. I added those paragraphs to section 2.4. not long before the submission deadline, and regretted it a couple months later.
No, that's a misreading of the study.
Eh, not really.
Silly. Donor-advised funds basically always fund as the donor wishes.
I have long thought that the very idea of "life expectancy at birth" is a harmful one, because it encourages exactly that sort of confusion. It lumps together two things (child mortality and life expectancy once out of infancy) with sufficiently different causes and sufficiently different effects that they really ought to be kept separate.
Does anybody have a source that separates the two out? For example, to what age can the average X year old today expect to live? Or even at a past time?
Sure, there is the concept of life expectancy at specific age. For example, there is the "default" life expectancy at birth, there is the life expectancy for a 20 year-old, life expectancy for a 60-year-old, etc. Just google it up.
It's kind of important to the life insurance business ....
Thanks. Interestingly, My numbers never matched up between any 2 sources.
The US SSA's actuarial tables give me a number that's 5 years different from their own "additional life expectancy" calculator.