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ChristianKl comments on Skepticism about Probability - Less Wrong Discussion
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Either there a reality and then there a basis or there reality in the first place and it's meaningless to speak about things having a basis in reality.
I mean do you believe that reality has a basis in reality?
I think we mean different things by "basis in reality". I use it to refer to something correlating with the real world, and evidence that demonstrates such a connection either probable or certain. Probability, of course, can only work if probability were somehow demonstrated valid.
Circular arguments do not count as a basis in reality, hence your argument, which assumes the existence of physical brains, does not work.