You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

James_Miller comments on Futurism's Track Record - Less Wrong Discussion

12 Post author: lukeprog 29 January 2014 08:27PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (17)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: James_Miller 30 January 2014 05:15:55PM 18 points [-]

This is way out of context.

This is from a subsection of my book that assumes someone gives you a magical scroll that contains numerous predictions that come true and a prediction that a singularity will occur in 2045. This was obviously a thought experiment about how you would behave if you somehow knew there would be a singularity in 2045, not an assertion that the singularity will happen in 2045. Indeed, I used the scroll device so the reader wouldn't think I was predicting there would be a 2045 singularity.