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TrE comments on The Problem of "Win-More" - Less Wrong Discussion
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Quibbling: Weak players sure, but club level players rarely mess up simplification that much. They need a larger advantage than stronger players to be sure they'll end up better after simplification, but they don't usually misjudge that advantage in my experience. So at club level and beyond it's very standard and effective stategy.
You are correct - although I have also seen club players misjudge a Queen + pawns vs. Rook + Pawns endgame, thinking it was won when in fact it was only a draw.