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shokwave comments on Irrationality Game III - Less Wrong Discussion
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Even given other technological civilisations existing, putting "matter and energy manipulation tops out a little above our current cutting edge" at 5% is way off.
Way off in which direction?
There's a lot you can do on the surface of a clement planet, and a lot you can do in a solar system without replicators that eat everything. Also depends on what you mean by 'above'.