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ThisSpaceAvailable comments on Irrationality Game III - Less Wrong Discussion

11 Post author: CellBioGuy 12 March 2014 01:51PM

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Tags: contrarianism fun disagreement irrationality

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Comment author: Nectanebo 13 March 2014 08:24:03AM 0 points [-]

I upvoted, mostly because of how low the estimate of the second claim was. I'm a bit more confident than that. The other factor was the "human-enough-way" phrasing.

It was a little difficult to choose how to vote because you put two fairly distinct claims in one post.

Comment author: ThisSpaceAvailable 16 March 2014 02:34:26AM 0 points [-]

My understanding is that if your probability estimate is higher than the one given, you're supposed to downvote.

Comment author: Nectanebo 16 March 2014 05:00:57AM 1 point [-]

That is not my understanding.

Vote up if you think they are either overconfident or underconfident in their belief: any disagreement is valid disagreement.

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