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Douglas_Knight comments on Open Thread, April 27-May 4, 2014 - Less Wrong Discussion

0 Post author: NancyLebovitz 27 April 2014 08:34PM

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Comment author: gwern 29 April 2014 11:28:25PM *  0 points [-]

but still enough to warrant reasonable doubt, especially considering the circumstances of his death.

I disagree (reasonable doubt under what assumptions? in what model? can you translate this to p-values? would you take that p-value remotely seriously if you saw it in a study where n=1?), and I've already pointed out many systematic biases and problems with attempting to infer anything from Roberts's death.

Comment author: Douglas_Knight 30 April 2014 03:29:46AM 2 points [-]

Isn't the p-value simply 100%-7.5%?