VincentYu comments on Open Thread, April 27-May 4, 2014 - Less Wrong Discussion
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (200)
Dude, I'm being genuinely curious about what "holy wars" he's talking about. So far I got:
... but zero actual answers, so I can't even tell if he's talking about some stupid overblown bullshit, or if he's just exaggerating what is actually a pretty low-key difference in opinion.
A "holy war" between Bayesians and frequentists exists in the modern academic literature for statistics, machine learning, econometrics, and philosophy (this is a non-exhaustive list).
Bradley Efron, who is arguably the most accomplished statistician alive, wrote the following in a commentary for Science in 2013 [1]:
In another paper published in 2013, Efron wrote [2]:
Thirty years ago, Efron was more critical of Bayesian statistics [3]:
The following bit of friendly banter in 1965 between M. S. Bartlett and John W. Pratt shows that the holy war was ongoing 50 years ago [4]:
For further reading I recommend [5], [6], [7].
[1]: Efron, Bradley. 2013. “Bayes’ Theorem in the 21st Century.” Science 340 (6137) (June 7): 1177–1178. doi:10.1126/science.1236536.
[2]: Efron, Bradley. 2013. “A 250-Year Argument: Belief, Behavior, and the Bootstrap.” Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society 50 (1) (April 25): 129–146. doi:10.1090/S0273-0979-2012-01374-5.
[3]: Efron, B. 1986. “Why Isn’t Everyone a Bayesian?” American Statistician 40 (1) (February): 1–11. doi:10.1080/00031305.1986.10475342.
[4]: Pratt, John W. 1965. “Bayesian Interpretation of Standard Inference Statements.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological) 27 (2): 169–203. http://www.jstor.org/stable/2984190.
[5]: Senn, Stephen. 2011. “You May Believe You Are a Bayesian but You Are Probably Wrong.” Rationality, Markets and Morals 2: 48–66. http://www.rmm-journal.com/htdocs/volume2.html.
[6]: Gelman, Andrew. 2011. “Induction and Deduction in Bayesian Data Analysis.” Rationality, Markets and Morals 2: 67–78. http://www.rmm-journal.com/htdocs/volume2.html.
[7]: Gelman, Andrew, and Christian P. Robert. 2012. “‘Not Only Defended but Also Applied’: The Perceived Absurdity of Bayesian Inference”. Statistics; Theory. arXiv (June 28).