This is true, but I was talking about the prediction markets that we have within the Less Wrong community. We may be interested in predictions other than those that go into financial markets.
From what I understand, prediction markets are available at many rationalist houses and other places Less Wrong members gather. It would be great if we could link these together
As for the "tax on bullshit", it wouldn't be a tax that is paid in money, but as long as your balance is publicly linked to your Less Wrong account, it would be a tax that is paid in credibility points. I concede that maybe I should have used a better word than "tax"
prediction markets are available at many rationalist houses and other places Less Wrong members gather.
What does that mean? That people make public bets against each other? I'm not sure that's enough to qualify as a "market".
it would be a tax that is paid in credibility points
First, I don't think LW karma = credibility. Second, karma is, let's say, prone to inflation :-/
Previous Open Thread
You know the drill - If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one.
3. Open Threads should start on Monday, and end on Sunday.
4. Open Threads should be posted in Discussion, and not Main.