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MrMind comments on Open Thread, May 12 - 18, 2014 - Less Wrong Discussion
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Yes, an experimental test is just what I want to create. That should be the useful action motivating my question.
I understand that not discounting for egocentric bias is a form of reduced Pascal's wager: the small chance of a correlation of her behaviour with me specifically has a huge payoff, so I better devote careful effort to discern the probability of this being the case.
However, if the pattern continues, I think that the correlation becomes more and more probable.
I still think that people worry about what other people think of them more than is healthy, which is why I think the egocentric bias fix is important. If you can think of a test, try it if it worries you, but... Well, I don't know. Perhaps I'm Other-Optimising too much.