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Lumifer comments on Open Thread, May 12 - 18, 2014 - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: eggman 12 May 2014 08:16AM

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Comment author: Lumifer 16 May 2014 02:29:24PM 3 points [-]

Does this suggest a problem with using Bayes to generate hypotheses?

I think that Bayes is completely silent on how one should generate hypotheses...

Comment author: NancyLebovitz 16 May 2014 03:17:56PM 1 point [-]

http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Locate_the_hypothesis

I'd have sworn that one of the first sequences I read was about improving science by using Bayes to make better choices among hypotheses. On the one hand, my memory is good but hardly perfect, and on the other choosing among hypotheses is related to but not exactly the same as generating hypotheses.

Comment author: Lumifer 16 May 2014 03:29:51PM 3 points [-]

using Bayes to make better choices among hypotheses

That, sure. You can easily argue that Bayesianism provides a better framework for hypothesis testing. But that's quite different from generating hypotheses.