Eh, it seems somewhat self-evident that it does not make a lot of sense to expect agents to avoid punishments which do not exist at the time, as such. CEV, to the point that CEV(mankind) wouldn't be an empty-set anyways, would probably include it just by fiat of it being one of the pillars of the rule of law, and since it's about "the people we'd want to be", presumably your CEV at least would contain it, as would mine. There is no relation to TDT, since we're talking about preferences of groups of agents, not general instrumental rationality.
There is no relation to TDT, since we're talking about preferences of groups of agents
You mean we aren't talking about the choice whether or not to punish someone? I don't see how that holds. If you only discuss a decision theory in the abstract but are not willing to use it for practical decisions than you are likely going to have a bad decision theory.
Don't compartmentalize and stop using your decision theory when things get political.
In this case punishing people for doing something that's bad for the community can discourage other people from doing...
Below is a message I just got from jackk. Some specifics have been redacted 1) so that we can discuss general policy rather than the details of this specific case 2) because presumption of innocence, just in case there happens to be an innocuous explanation to this.
So... thoughts? I have mod powers, but when I was granted them I was basically just told to use them to fight spam; there was never any discussion of any other policy, and I don't feel like I have the authority to decide on the suitable course of action without consulting the rest of the community.