Mark_Friedenbach comments on Will AGI surprise the world? - Less Wrong Discussion
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No, I wouldn't feel qualified to make predictions on novel narrow AI developments. I stay up to date with what's being published chiefly because my own design involves integrating a handful of narrow AI techniques, and new developments have ramifications for that. But I have no inside knowledge about what frontiers are being pushed next.
Edit: narrow AI and general AI are two very different fields, in case you didn't know.