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V_V comments on Will AGI surprise the world? - Less Wrong Discussion
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Comments (129)
That is, not very much.
But at least Eliezer Yudkowsky and pals have made an effort to publish arguments for their position, even if they haven't published in peer-reviewed journals or conferences (except some philosophical "special issue" volumes, IIRC).
Your "Trust me, I'm a computer scientist and I've fiddled with OpenCog in my basement but I can't show you my work because humans not ready for it" gives you even less credibility.