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brazil84 comments on Will AGI surprise the world? - Less Wrong Discussion
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I'm not sure I would agree with that. Would you mind telling me why you think so?
To my mind, whoever is the first to develop AI has a good chance of having an awesome amount of power. I am not comfortable with anyone having that kind of power, but if I had to pick one person or organization, I would probably pick the United States government.
An AI developed by the military (or the security apparatus) will have the goals of the military (or the security). And being developed within the bureaucratic labyrinths of a federal organization ensures that there will be many things wrong with it, things about which no one will know (and so cannot suggest fixing) because it all will be very very secret.
Well if Microsoft develops AI first, won't there be a similar problem?
Not to the same extent, I don't think so.
I would have to disagree. For one thing, if a corporation like Microsoft (or perhaps Google) develops AI, it seems pretty likely that it will be done in secret, if only to prevent competitors from gaining an advantage. Even if the existence of the project is known, the actual details will probably be secret. For another, it seems like it would be difficult for the public to provide meaningful feedback in such a situation.