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brazil84 comments on Separating the roles of theory and direct empirical evidence in belief formation: the examples of minimum wage and anthropogenic global warming - Less Wrong Discussion
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Comments (65)
As to the first question, I think that you need to define "Anthropogenic Global Warming." Does it simply mean that mankind's activities are have or will lead to an increase in global surface temperatures? Does it mean that mankind's CO2 emissions have or are likely to lead to an increase in global surface temperatures? Does it mean that mankind's CO2 emissions are likely to cause warming which will then start a positive feedback loop, leading to dangerous levels of warming? Or does it mean something else entirely?
I realize that you want to keep the question brief, but these are extremely important distinctions.
By contrast, it's much clearer what it means to increase the minimum wage and what unemployment means.