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James_Miller comments on A Parable of Elites and Takeoffs - Less Wrong Discussion

23 Post author: gwern 30 June 2014 11:04PM

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Comment author: James_Miller 02 July 2014 05:25:46AM 2 points [-]

Wouldn't quantum effects have some influence on who gets cancer from background radiation, and wouldn't the impact of this ripple in a chaotic way throughout the world so that, say, Petrov isn't the one on duty on 9/26/1983?

Comment author: Baughn 02 July 2014 06:19:33PM *  2 points [-]

Absolutely.

Human minds are a lot more stable than they feel - a decision that feels "close; 60/40" would still fall on the 60% side >>60% of the time - but chaos will quickly bubble up through other channels.