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Lalartu comments on Quickly passing through the great filter - Less Wrong Discussion
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I think "filter" itself is a bad metaphor. It implies that 1) some barrier really exists 2) it can be passed. One of this assumptions is likely wrong.
(2) Isn't wrong if the speed of light is really the maximum because then once we have started to colonize the universe our civilization will be beyond the scope of any one disaster and will likely survive until the free energy of the universe runs out
If "late filter" variant is true, it means interstellar colonization is just impossible, for reasons that can be outside the limits of modern scientific knowledge.
and a reason could include that advanced civilizations destroy themselves with very high probability before they can colonize space.
"Very high probability" of this kind in practice means "always". So either technological progress brings some dangers that just cannot be avoided before building starships is possible, or starships thenselves are not viable.