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Lumifer comments on [QUESTION]: What are your views on climate change, and how did you form them? - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: VipulNaik 08 July 2014 02:52PM

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Comment author: Lumifer 08 July 2014 08:25:29PM 3 points [-]

Yes, of course it's better to try and fail, and try again, and fail better...

people (a) refusing to make forecasts while still implicity doing so by claiming near-certainty about the future and seeking action based on that

The situation with global warming reminds me very much of a recent Yvain post on his blog about the "motte-and-bailey doctrine". I think the AGW proponents use this technique extensively.