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RichardKennaway comments on [QUESTION]: What are your views on climate change, and how did you form them? - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: VipulNaik 08 July 2014 02:52PM

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Comment author: RichardKennaway 18 July 2014 05:13:10PM 0 points [-]

Commercial aviation is just barely economically viable today

[citation needed]

Comment author: gwern 18 July 2014 11:01:47PM 3 points [-]

It's pretty notorious. Airlines routinely go bankrupt and prompt articles like "The Economist explains: Why airlines make such meagre profits"

Despite incredible growth, airlines have not come close to returning the cost of capital, with profit margins of less than 1% on average over that period. In 2012 they made profits of only $4 for every passenger carried. Why has a booming business failed to prosper?

army1987's point is ill-posed and makes little sense in a supply-demand framework - the more interesting question is how much ticket prices would have to rise if fuel got much more expensive, since obviously they would rise & airlines wouldn't simply stop flying entirely.