You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

polymathwannabe comments on Forecasting rare events - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: VipulNaik 11 July 2014 10:48PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (4)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: polymathwannabe 12 July 2014 01:43:58AM *  3 points [-]

Off the top of my head, other rare events worth anticipating:

  • Assassination of a head of state and/or coup d'état

  • War between and/or within highly developed countries

  • A new pandemic

  • Unavoidable meteorite

  • Extraterrestrial invasion

Comment author: VipulNaik 12 July 2014 02:34:03PM 1 point [-]

Thanks! I added pandemics (though not in the depth I should have). I'll look at some of the others.