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Mark_Friedenbach comments on Look for the Next Tech Gold Rush? - Less Wrong Discussion

34 Post author: Wei_Dai 19 July 2014 10:08AM

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Comment author: [deleted] 19 July 2014 10:29:13PM *  2 points [-]

I was talking about literal gold rushes. I find them quite fascinating and have read a few books on their history. Once the actual "gold rush" starts, very few miners coming from afar get rich. Those who do typically either (a) are supplying the miners, (b) innovate in some way, e.g. buying small stakes in many claims and reselling shares to speculators.

The people who make the most money are parasites and could have done that anywhere. The yields are just bigger in the gold rush ecosystem. The ones who actually struck it rich were the grizzled prospector types who happened to be in the right place at the right time.. but not because they were lucky. You make your own luck as the saying goes.

Comment author: Vaniver 20 July 2014 11:47:14PM 2 points [-]

You make your own luck as the saying goes.

This brings to mind Ed Schieffelin, who struck silver in Arizona and correctly predicted there would be gold in Alaska (but didn't find enough to overcome the bitter cold, and so left).