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hairyfigment comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, July 2014, chapter 102 - Less Wrong Discussion

7 Post author: David_Gerard 26 July 2014 11:26AM

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Tags: fiction hpmor harry_potter fanfiction

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Comment author: solipsist 28 July 2014 12:58:55PM 3 points [-]

So, people did not think this was obvious?

Screw that. I am willing to bet $50 US (1:1) that Mr. Hat & Cloak is Baba Yaga.

Comment author: hairyfigment 29 July 2014 07:19:18AM 1 point [-]

I'll take that bet, if it's still open. Though please see the possible spoiler in my previous comment if you're basing this on your interpretation of Eliezer's motives.

Comment author: solipsist 30 July 2014 01:57:06PM *  0 points [-]

Sorry, I gave lmm priority. Really we should have used your interest to obtain better market odds.

It's too late now, but does anybody have a recommendation of practical mechanisms for ad hoc predictions markets?

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