Now dedicating 20 min every Tuesday to murphy-proofing common and terrible outcomes I've googled.
What do you mean by that? Preparing for catastrophic but probable outcomes?
Added a habit to draw some visualizations of VOI/EV calculations, doing that pretty much every weekday. I'm hoping to a.) get in the habit of thinking about these, b.) force myself to tone down perfectionism in art and guestimating, and c.) have these cool visualizations hanging up in my room to reference!
Could you give an example?
I would be delighted to explain!
I was referring to preparing for catastrophic OR probable outcomes.
I googled "stuff that happens to everybody" and similar queries to compile a list, and I now intend to go through that list and consider what I would have to do to prevent or deal with each eventuality. A lot of the time, the answer is "not signifcant enough EV to be worth doing something about." Some examples of common things I find significant enough to deal with: "Need to write something down, can't find a pen or paper anywhere,&qu...
This is the public group instrumental rationality diary for August 1-15.
Thanks to cata for starting the Group Rationality Diary posts, and to commenters for participating.
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