Vladimir_Nesov comments on [meta] Future moderation and investigation of downvote abuse cases, or, I don't want to deal with this stuff - Less Wrong Discussion
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It's not wrong if most of what the user writes is bad. The wrong thing is to act on an incorrect judgement, something that won't be supported by idealized community. The heuristic you suggest limits influence, which guards against consequences of overconfidence. In some cases, you can see that there is no mistake.
I tend to agree with the first statement as a rule of thumb. If you're reading and downvoting 8 postings in a day that you think are not worth reading (apparently), it seems like you're taking it upon yourself to punish that person, whereas I think it is better if we try to read what we consider to be valuable, and if we happen across some writing that seems bad, sure, critique it with a -1 if that seems worthwhile, but don't go on a jag reading all the bad (by your standards) writing you can find and downvoting it.