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Alexandros comments on Quantified Risks of Gay Male Sex - Less Wrong Discussion
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That's a good point, and probably applies to Mark Manson's guide too. It's similar to the well-known point that your friends are probably more popular than you are, because popular people have more friends.
and of course this is another case of 'just because you hired the top 1% of the CVs you got, doesn't mean that those you hired are in the top 1% of programmers'. Less good programmers are more often looking for a job.
Is there a name for this pattern?
Adverse selection.