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shminux comments on Calibrating your probability estimates of world events: Russia vs Ukraine, 6 months later. - Less Wrong Discussion
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6 months ago, I would have agreed with you.
I interpret the last six months as more evidence that the West will do nothing.
I also see large, um, practical problems with the idea. Who will be intervening? You can't think it would be a good idea to send German soldiers into Ukraine to fight Russians. And will the US execute airstrikes against Russia given that Russia is likely to retaliate with airstrikes against, say, Alaska?
In any case anything resembling an intervention will be a colossal political gift for Putin.