= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
_alexander comments on Calibrating your probability estimates of world events: Russia vs Ukraine, 6 months later. - Less Wrong Discussion
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
Comments (164)
I feel like there is a lot of noise in this thread. We'd do well to avoid any further mention of Hitler. But the first exchange with Lumifer was good.
What is Good Judgment Project saying? Maybe I should get around to actually participating...
One place to start might be looking at freedom indices and yes, you can see that Russia is basically a dictatorship now.
An analogy that comes into my head is Brezhnev and the Czechoslovakia invasion.
Indeed. But it is still way better than what a similar topic would have generated on reddit or elsewhere.
Right, it used to happen every 12 years like a clockwork after the Soviets "liberated" Eastern Europe in 1944: 1956 Hungary, 1968 Czechoslovakia, 1980 Poland and Afghanistan. And by 1992 there was no more Soviet Union. In retrospect, I should have expected that another invasion is not out of the question.