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JoshuaFox comments on Open thread, September 8-14, 2014 - Less Wrong Discussion
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Can someone point me to estimates given by Luke Muehlhauser and others as to MIRI's chances for success in its quest to ensure FAI? I recall some values (of course these were subjective probability estimates with large error bars) in some lesswrong.com post.
You can see some discussion on "How does MIRI know it has a medium probability of success?"