You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

Mark_Friedenbach comments on In order to greatly reduce X-risk, design self-replicating spacecraft without AGI - Less Wrong Discussion

1 Post author: chaosmage 20 September 2014 08:25PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (36)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: [deleted] 21 September 2014 02:45:16AM 2 points [-]

They are not analagous. In the smoking lesion problem the lesion causes a desire to smoke, and therefore wanting to smoke is evidence for updating your probability of getting cancer, which the smoking lesion also causes.

In this case there is no causal connection between building radio transmitters or self-replicating machines and mitigation of causal risks that are likely to underlie the great filter, so no you don't get to update.