jkaufman comments on A Guide to Rational Investing - Less Wrong Discussion
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This post would be a lot clearer if you used constant (inflation adjusted) dollars. For example, take these two passages:
The first one makes it sound like people can expect 3500x growth, when actual growth was 272x, while the second implies you'd still earn enough money to matter while beating inflation by only 0.5%. Similarly, "putting in $5k a year" sounds pretty reasonable on it's face, until you realize that this savings strategy means putting in (in 2012 dollars) $65k/year at first and then slowly dropping down to $5k/year. At which point it's clearer that "$5k/year" means more money saved sooner than "$5k of constant dollars/year".
(And while you do note this in the afterward, pointing people to US historical results is kind of cherry-picking. Over that period many countries' markets had worse performance than the US, and some were even wiped out. Once you adjust for this a 3.5% return is probably a better estimate. A nice summary of Dimson, Marsh, and Staunton is http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21571443-investors-may-have-developed-too-rosy-view-equity-returns-beware-bias)