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RomeoStevens comments on What are your contrarian views? - Less Wrong Discussion

10 Post author: Metus 15 September 2014 09:17AM

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Comment author: RomeoStevens 15 September 2014 07:15:57PM 5 points [-]

Changing minds is usually impossible. People will only be shifted on things they didn't feel confident about in the first place. Changes in confidence are only weakly influenced by system 2 reasoning.

Comment author: Prismattic 17 September 2014 01:43:48AM *  2 points [-]

You may find this article by Tom Stafford (of Mindhacks) to be of interest.

Comment author: RomeoStevens 17 September 2014 10:21:52AM *  1 point [-]

Interesting. They posit several conditions for mind-changing.

  1. The person is motivated/somehow involved with the outcome of the decision.

  2. The argument for a different view is strong.

  3. Their own view is shown to have a weakness.

  4. They like you. (ingroup affiliation is also mentioned)

  5. They have time to think about it.

Not all conditions are always required, but each has a significant impact.