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KatjaGrace comments on Superintelligence Reading Group 2: Forecasting AI - Less Wrong Discussion
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"Small sample sizes, selection biases, and - above all - the inherent unreliability of the subjective opinions elicited mean that one should not read too much into these expert surveys and interviews. They do not let us draw any strong conclusion." - Bostrom, p21
Do you agree that we shouldn't read too much into e.g. AI experts predicting human-level AI with 90% probability by 2075?
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