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SteveG comments on Superintelligence Reading Group 2: Forecasting AI - Less Wrong Discussion

10 Post author: KatjaGrace 23 September 2014 01:00AM

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Comment author: SteveG 23 September 2014 01:53:35AM 2 points [-]

People with experience in Bayesian forecasting need to work with academic, industry and government experts in AI sub-domains and computer hardware.

I envision a forecast calibration and validation process, and a periodic cycle of updates every 1-3 years.