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PhilGoetz comments on Superintelligence Reading Group 2: Forecasting AI - Less Wrong Discussion
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In both GOFAI and ML, progress is hampered by the inconvenient fact that stupid methods perform unreasonably well. It's hard for a logic engine to out-perform a finite-state automata or regular expressions; it's hard for an ML system to out-perform naive Bayes, Markov models, or regression. Intelligence is usually more trouble than it's worth.