Stuart_Armstrong comments on CEV: coherence versus extrapolation - Less Wrong Discussion
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Comments (17)
Small mindspaces would make CEV easier, so large mindspaces have to be a problem at some level.
CEV is an algorithm, not a continuation of historical trends. Getting the algorithm right might make use of stuff like those trends, though.
The "if we knew more" part of CEV sure sounds like a continuation of historical trends.