ciphergoth comments on Superintelligence Reading Group 3: AI and Uploads - Less Wrong Discussion
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (138)
I'm going to lay out a specific scenario in which WBE arrives very soon, so that other things are not much changed. I'm assuming here that the scanning route starts with legal death and vitrification. I'm also assuming no hardware overhang - that initially, vast amounts of compute hardware are required, and WBEs are no faster than we are or perhaps slower. This and other assumptions I haven't noticed well enough to state add up to a large conjunction and so a correspondingly small spot in probability space, treat with appropriate caution.
The literal first people would be test subjects; people dying of something that doesn't affect the brain, who aren't signed up for cryonics but who are sympathetic enough to take a shot at immortality. I'm not sure what sort of fate to expect for these first volunteers, given that there are things we would like to know that it will be hard to learn from animal testing and it's difficult to get those things right first time.
Once the procedure has been demonstrated to work well in humans and preserve memory and personality, then the interesting questions start. Lots of people who aren't signed up for cryonics would sign up, even though WBE is far outside their budget, because they have good reason to hope that it will one day be affordable. In its initial stages, WBE will primarily be seen as a way of escaping terminal illness for the very rich. In places where euthanasia is legal, some who would otherwise have waited longer will opt for euthanasia followed by WBE. There may be cryonics patients today whose fortunes would cover WBE, they might also be brought back.
It's currently illegal to assist suicide in a healthy person even if you plan to cryopreserve them, and I don't expect that to change right away. The first healthy and rich person to arrange their own "suicide" in order to be uploaded will presumably generate lots of publicity and controversy.
In this scenario, three things then start to happen which make it much harder to see where things go next!