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Jeff_Alexander comments on Superintelligence Reading Group 3: AI and Uploads - Less Wrong Discussion

9 Post author: KatjaGrace 30 September 2014 01:00AM

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Comment author: Jeff_Alexander 01 October 2014 07:58:50PM 3 points [-]

I agree with this. Brute force searching AI did not seem to be a relevant possibility to me prior to reading this chapter and this comment, and now it does.

One more thought/concern regarding the evolutionary approach: Humans perform poorly when estimating the cost and duration of software projects, particularly as the size and complexity of the project grows. Recapitulating evolution is a large project, and so it wouldn't be at all surprising if it ended up requiring more compute time and person-hours than expected, pushing out the timeline for success via this approach.

Comment author: KatjaGrace 01 October 2014 09:14:10PM 3 points [-]

While humans do perform poorly estimating time to complete projects, I expect that only adds a factor of two or something, which is fairly small next to the many order of magnitude uncertainty around the cost.