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Jayson_Virissimo comments on Open thread, Sept. 29 - Oct.5, 2014 - Less Wrong Discussion
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When will this occur by? Without a date it isn't a proper prediction (unless you are merely saying this will occur sometime before the heat death of the universe). Also, "take the place of" is vague. This could mean anything from curated knowledge bases going completely extinct to merely making up less of the market than their NLP counterparts. In addition, what of hybrids that rely on both?
I wasn't trying to be scientifically precise; I just wanted to share an idea. This kind of concept could be important to people who think about futuristic AI scenarios.
But, okay, if you want a scientific prediction, then: it will happen within the next 20 years, and the hand curated knowledge bases will largely go extinct, in the sense that no one will spend their time curating knowledge bases anymore. Plausibly the current systems will be absorbed into the next-generation systems. P=0.5.